Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002493 0.002653 0.002824 0.003021 0.003245 0.003491 0.003786
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002296 0.002521 0.002776 0.003090 0.003474 0.003936 0.004548
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002122 0.002381 0.002688 0.003087 0.003603 0.004272 0.005246
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001969 0.002245 0.002582 0.003036 0.003654 0.004505 0.005856
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001898 0.002199 0.002577 0.003107 0.003866 0.004989 0.006968
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001832 0.002150 0.002561 0.003156 0.004050 0.005463 0.008236
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001740 0.002061 0.002481 0.003104 0.004072 0.005679 0.009114
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001645 0.001959 0.002377 0.003005 0.004005 0.005725 0.009658
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001590 0.001908 0.002337 0.002996 0.004078 0.006035 0.010966
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001487 0.001786 0.002191 0.002816 0.003846 0.005724 0.010540
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001453 0.001757 0.002175 0.002831 0.003947 0.006087 0.012195
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001436 0.001751 0.002189 0.002896 0.004142 0.006689 0.015158
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001392 0.001707 0.002151 0.002877 0.004191 0.007010 0.017655
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001370 0.001692 0.002153 0.002926 0.004378 0.007724 0.023437
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001334 0.001657 0.002123 0.002916 0.004449 0.008177 0.029405
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001292 0.001609 0.002072 0.002868 0.004435 0.008393 0.034770
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001279 0.001604 0.002085 0.002931 0.004664 0.009432 0.058850
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001262 0.001592 0.002087 0.002975 0.004859 0.010493 0.123251
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001227 0.001552 0.002041 0.002928 0.004840 0.010780 0.205052
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001185 0.001500 0.001975 0.002839 0.004710 0.010593 0.246671
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001162 0.001476 0.001953 0.002830 0.004773 0.011229 2.040396
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001109 0.001405 0.001852 0.002667 0.004442 0.010099 0.306953
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001094 0.001391 0.001845 0.002681 0.004550 0.010904 NaN